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Mikael Haggstrom "The Man Shadow" Via Wikimedia Public Domain |
World view: I think that my argument is interesting because the bearing that it could have on humanity is huge, but it is an issue that doesn't affect us yet. It is basically preparing for the future, and it is important to do so.
The situation: The situations relevancy today is highly related to Stephen Hawking and Elon Musk bringing the situation further into the public eye, and an open letter signed by many figures concerning the future of AI.
Frame the Consequences: This is a very crucial part of my argument, because the short term consequences are low so people tend to ignore it, but the potential consequences are so high because it could effect the whole world and everyone in it.
Define or Narrow the Problem: The plan for action is to spread awareness in order to determine the path for the future of the technology, so that we can get on the right path before it is decided for us. Basically, the people need to be educated on the subject preemptively so that we can guide its development in a productive and cautious way.
Developing Strong supporting paragraphs:
Supporting arguments: There are many public figures in technology that have gone on record about the possible consequences of human level AI being developed haphazardly. This is because there is concern about its implementation in military as an early potential consequence to it not being regulated, and in the long run there is an undeniable possibility of the AI progressing far beyond humanity and overtaking us, especially if it is not programmed with extreme caution.
Major Criticisms: Because we don't know how far into the future this will affect us, many people say that it is an overblown issue. It is also said that is is quite possible that we will never be able to reach this point for an extremely long time, and that the timeframe means that we should wait before taking any sort of action.
Rebuttals: The time frame is not reason to discard the issue entirely, it can be comparable to knowing about global warming before it started affecting us, so that we can structure our society's structure in order to prevent the issue before it comes. A.I. though it might be a distant technology is progressing steadily and all signs point towards it progressing to human level, potentially within our lifetimes, but whether it is within our lifetimes or not should not affect the direction it heads towards.
Topic sentence: Time is not a large factor in the determining how important it is to keep a close eye and regulation on AI because we need to start onto the right path well before AI reaches a level where it poses a threat, and guide its development in a productive and cautious manner.
Evidence: There are quotes from many major figures in technology that support this viewpoint, however, I have not decided which ones to use yet because they have to specifically be used as a rebuttal to Rodney Brooks and his viewpoint.
Map: https://coggle.it/diagram/Vj5l9zCrecoFNq8L/bf6a4623de9c4792ccfe72da025973e9a402a057a85f431335b9a99d43180f21
Concluding Strategies:
How to act on it: Simply by understanding today so that we can move into the future with caution and understanding is the best that people can do right now, future legislation may involve this as well.
Negative consequences: Though it may not affect humanity for many years to come, the consequences of carelessness towards AI could spell the end of the human race in the long term, but in the short term it could lead to deaths on a smaller scale if it is implemented in the military.
Positive Consequences: If AI is developed properly, its affect on humanity is nearly endless, and could potentially solve many of the worlds toughest problems like unemployment and hunger if it is done right.
Common ground: Nobody is saying that AI is going to kill us in five or ten years, and nearly nobody is arguing against its furthering and advancement. There is simply a misunderstanding between those who take AI seriously today and those who think that it is simply "fear mongering" to feel this way.
Future of the debate: This debate is exciting because it is bound to grow in scope as time progresses with technology. This is just the very beginning of the debate, which is mostly going on based on theory, but as technology progresses it will get more and more specific and developed.
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